Monday, May 23, 2016

Reverse in fortunes as Toshiba Announces profits

Following a damaging accounting scandal that resulted in Toshiba Corp posting nearly $7 billion in losses last year, the company announced they expected to deliver a profit for 2016.
Similar to an estimate announcement earlier in the year, the Japanese multinational titan predicted approx. $800 million in operating profits for this financial year.

The scandal, which the company announced it was investigating last May, resulted in the immediate resignation of the CEO Hisao Tanaka and was called "the most damaging event for our brand in the company's 140-year history." Thousands of other employees lost their jobs and the company had to sell off large chunks of its business.

The multinational conglomerate, founded in 1938, is looking to streamline its operations and will focus more heavily on the nuclear and social sectors, and electronic chips.

David Knightley, Head of Institutional Equities, Trading and Research at Monex BMO Securities  commented on the move by the company in an email to clients. “The chip market fluctuates more than the average area and the nuclear sector is far from stable after what happened at Fukushima. We expect Toshiba will look to increase its capital base to offset these factors. Having said that, the company is now making money again and this is the most important sign for investors.”

The company has struggled to raise capital through the usual methods since September 2015 when it was placed on a Tokyo Stock Exchange watch list after questionable internal controls were cited.
Toshiba CFO Masayoshi Hirata said in a press statement, “Capital gains will come in time. We will wait patiently for more favourable conditions.”

Onlookers have commented that Toshiba will need to look for other ways to develop growth after it was forced to offload its medical equipment operations to Chinese appliance company Midea Group Ltd.


A severe downturn is also expected in Toshibas memory chip operations following declining global smartphone and tablet demand which could result in a drop from about 105 billion yen last year to around 20 billion this financial term.

Tokyo ease expectations, Brexit looms

Amid continued rumours the BOJ may inject a hefty stimulus boost soon, the Japanese currency dropped on Wednesday as investors sold it on the currency markets.
A prominent academic close to the Bank of Japan chief fuelled the rumours and said the stimulus could arrive as early as July.

Governor Kuroda himself said the bank would be swift to back up the negative rates they introduced in January, which had no major effect on the yen or financial reports, by taking further easing measures in an economy which “still has large downward risks.”
Last month the BOJ also threatened to inject stimulus but held off on the move resulting in a greenback rise of half a percent to 108.98 yen translating to an impressive recovery from its year and a half low of 105.59 yen at the start of May.

After several threats of government intervention to halt the trend by Finance Minister Aso, traders have responded by taking their positive bets off the yen.
Many financial specialists think Japan will be unlikely to take action until it hosts a G-7 summit at the end of May, regardless of the meteoric rise of their currency by more than 11 percent already this year.

Anthony Russell, Senior Vice President at MonexBMO Securities said “Tokyo is wary to intervene right now; it’s just testing the waters and waiting for some reaction from home and abroad. The government is still in a bit of a spot with the yen/greenback being stuck around a nervy range of about 104 to 109.”

Meanwhile, in Europe, all eyes will be on the Bank of England as it announces the results of its policy meeting on what has been dubbed “super Thursday”. Investors will be holding their breath for the quarterly inflation data when Governor Mark Carney holds a press meeting. It’s expected the report will be fairly soft considering the Brexit debate is still in the balance.
Latest polls indicate the vote on British membership in the E.U. could still go either way and the pound is currently looking defensive, down 0.3 percent at $1.4434 GBP not far from a fortnightly low.

The Norwegian economy has seemingly evened off as the nation’s currency gained a tiny amount after the central Bank rate decision this morning. It’s predicted by those in the know they will keep rates unchanged.
There is a 50% chance the Norges will bring on more rate cuts, which would see a drop for the crown.


Saturday, May 14, 2016

Euro Markets Rally as Banks Gain for Second Consecutive Day

There was a significant rally involving European shares as experts predicted a selloff that kick-started the biggest 7 day decrease since February.

Earnings details were also at the forefront. Lenders were directed higher by Credit Suisse Group, increasing 5.7% after announcing a smaller dip than experts predicted. Pandora A/S soared 7.4% after releasing better-than-expected results and boosting its 12 month forecast. A jump in copper propelled miners to the highest increases among industry sectors, with ArcelorMittal and Anglo American Plc up 2%.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.8% at 8:13 a.m. in London, as nine tenths of shares jumped. The benchmark closed 0.5% higher yesterday as optimism over national-bank support continued, while giving up some intraday increases as oil dropped.

“It’s very encouraging news” said David Knightley, Head of Institutional Equities, Trading and Research for Monex BMOSecurities, in a blog Tuesday. “Happy faces on the exchanging floors across Europe”.

The Stoxx is gaining this week after dropping 5.3% from an April 20th crest. A rally that bumped the gauge 17% from a February low came apart as experts slashed predictions to call for a profit decrease over the next year, and disconcerting financial reports cast a shadow on prospects for international growth.

Still, weak U.S. info last week heightened gossip that the Fed will increase interest rates at a slower speed. Investors are now pricing in a small chance of increased borrowing costs in June, and even shorter odds of a jump in the next eight months.

Luxury stocks increased after CSG raised its advice on the group to overweight. LVMH and Christian Dior SE rose more than 2%.


ThyssenKrupp AG dipped 2.8% after a steel oversupply brought on by Chinese exports drove the firm to decrease its profit predictions.